Challenging some of the assumptions for stability and political reconstruction usually implemented as responsible for the gloomy state of affairs in Afghanistan, the author focuses on the Karzai administration’s inbuilt potential for political instability. Besides the necessity to maintain expensive security forces to contain the regional power-holders, the author casts light on what he calls the failure of the ethno-nationalist expatriate leadership. The latter’s eagerness to manipulate international goodwill in support of internal political rivalries is identified as a major factor of durable instability. Underestimating the Taliban threat, the Afghan government is reproached to have reoriented international focus to the smaller challenge posed by regional power-holders, allowing the Taliban to make a strong comeback.

The Redaction
CER: II-7.4.B-641