This ambitious article is a tentative assessment of the demographic evolution of Eastern Europe in the wake of the early-twelfth-century Mongol invasion.  Using a large combination of economic data, the author reaches the conclusion that the number of nomads in fourteenth and fifteenth-centuries Eastern Europe was close to four million, plus four other million in the triangle between the Caucasus range, the northern shore of the Black Sea, and Muscovy.  According to the author’s thesis, it is the gradual extension of the nomads’ territory to the expanse of forest populations chased out to the north that drove to the fifteenth and sixteenth-centuries eastward expansion of Rus’.

The Redaction
CER: I-3.2.A-194